Marsilya (K) 0-2 FC Nantes (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
48%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-4.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
48%
Away Win
39%
+8.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsilya (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nantes (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.52/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.23
-46% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.8 Crosses 12.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsilya (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Nantes (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.44 xG 1.49
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
260 Passes 496
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 16
7 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2025 FC Nantes (K) FC Nantes (K) 3-0 HT 3-0 Marsilya (K) Marsilya (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsilya (K)
0-2
AWAY FC Nantes (K)
0.90 xG 0.73
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
244 Passes 576
75% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marsilya (K) vs FC Nantes (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nantes (K) beat Marsilya (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Nantes (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marsilya (K) had 35% of the ball to FC Nantes (K)'s 65%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.90 to 0.73.

What was the final score of Marsilya (K) vs FC Nantes (K)?

Marsilya (K) 0-2 FC Nantes (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsilya (K) vs FC Nantes (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Nantes (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Marsilya (K) 30%, draw 22%, FC Nantes (K) 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Nantes (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Nantes (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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