Baroka 1-1 Gomora United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
25%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
33%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.4pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baroka EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomora United EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.41/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.37
+21% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baroka
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gomora United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
26.09.2025 Gomora United 2-1 HT 0-0 Baroka Baroka GAF1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baroka
1-1
AWAY Gomora United
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Baroka vs Gomora United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baroka and Gomora United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gomora United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Baroka had 50% of the ball to Gomora United's 50%.

What was the final score of Baroka vs Gomora United?

Baroka 1-1 Gomora United in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baroka vs Gomora United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gomora United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Baroka 32%, draw 25%, Gomora United 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gomora United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gomora United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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