FK Orenburg 2-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
21%
3.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.87
Over
51%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.74
No
46%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.17
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
23%
3.45
6+
6%
13.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.52
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
17%
4.51
X/2
8%
8.0
X/X
16%
4.68
2/1
3%
24.35
2/2
11%
6.14
2/X
5%
14.15
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME FK Orenburg The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod The Market 27%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.87 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.88
1.14 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.69
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
28 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
23 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Orenburg
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.45 xG 1.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
312 Passes 246
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2025 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-1 HT 1-1 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
04.04.2025 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-2 HT 1-2 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
27.09.2024 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 1-2 HT 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
14.04.2024 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 3-1 HT 1-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
24.09.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-1 HT 1-1 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
30.04.2023 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
REVIEW FK Orenburg vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

FK Orenburg shaded a tight game against Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Orenburg as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for FK Orenburg against 1.67 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

FK Orenburg vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Result & Final Score

FK Orenburg 2 - 1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

FK Orenburg vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Orenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FK Orenburg 52%, draw 27%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Orenburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Orenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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