Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Newells Old Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 22 May 2024

Velez Sarsfield
1-0 HT 1-0
Newells Old Boys
📅22/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.22
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
5.58
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.0pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.6pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Velez Sarsfield v Newells Old Boys — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +5%
1.26/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.33
+10% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
20.5 Crosses 15.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Sarsfield
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Newells Old Boys
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.10 xG 0.84
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
355 Passes 277
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.02.2023 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
03.09.2022 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 0-1 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
09.10.2021 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-2 HT 0-1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
14.02.2021 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-0 HT 1-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
04.01.2021 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-1 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
24.08.2019 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 3-1 HT 1-1 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ

Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Newells Old Boys — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Velez Sarsfield
1-0
AWAY Newells Old Boys
0.54 xG 0.91
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
266 Passes 185
73% Pass Accuracy 64%
12 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Sarsfield nicked a narrow win over Newells Old Boys 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Velez Sarsfield as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Velez Sarsfield had 56% of the ball to Newells Old Boys's 44%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 0.54 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Sarsfield had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Velez Sarsfield and 0.67 for Newells Old Boys.

What was the final score of Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys?

Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Newells Old Boys in the Argentina - Premier League on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Sarsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Velez Sarsfield 44%, draw 30%, Newells Old Boys 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velez Sarsfield), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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