Valentine Phoenix 0-2 Newcastle Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
47%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.33
Over 2.5
62%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
39%
-8.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
47%
Away Win
37%
+9.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
39%
-0.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
61%
+0.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.1pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Olympic EU Bookmakers 40%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.41/2.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.99
-18% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +62%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valentine Phoenix
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Newcastle Olympic
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2023 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 2-1 HT 2-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNSW
24.05.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-0 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
05.07.2022 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 1-2 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
29.06.2022 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-2 HT 0-2 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
30.05.2021 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-1 HT 0-0 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
11.10.2020 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-3 HT 0-1 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNSW
POST-MATCH Valentine Phoenix vs Newcastle Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Olympic saw off Valentine Phoenix 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Newcastle Olympic as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle Olympic led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Valentine Phoenix and 1.50 for Newcastle Olympic.

What was the final score of Valentine Phoenix vs Newcastle Olympic?

Valentine Phoenix 0-2 Newcastle Olympic in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valentine Phoenix vs Newcastle Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle Olympic win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Valentine Phoenix 30%, draw 23%, Newcastle Olympic 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle Olympic) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle Olympic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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