Independiente Petrolero 3-2 Oriente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 22 May 2024

Independiente Petrolero
3-2 HT 2-1
Oriente Petrolero
📅22/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Independiente Petrolero vs Oriente Petrolero Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-8.0pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Independiente Petrolero v Oriente Petrolero — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
0.91/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.17
-10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
17.7 Crosses 19.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.8

Independiente Petrolero vs Oriente Petrolero Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
190 Passes 220
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
7 Box Touches 15
7 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
25.07.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-0 HT 1-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
19.02.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
13.10.2022 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 3-3 HT 1-2 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
19.08.2021 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-2 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ

Independiente Petrolero 3-2 Oriente Petrolero — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
3-2
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
2.27 xG 1.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
184 Passes 154
69% Pass Accuracy 64%
31 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Oriente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero nicked a narrow win over Oriente Petrolero 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Independiente Petrolero found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 52% of the ball to Oriente Petrolero's 48%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 2.27 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.50 for Oriente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Oriente Petrolero?

Independiente Petrolero 3-2 Oriente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Oriente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 35%, draw 31%, Oriente Petrolero 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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