Mushuc Runa 2-1 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 May 2024

Mushuc Runa
2-1 HT 2-1
Uni. Catolica
📅22/05/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Mushuc Runa vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mushuc Runa v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
0.99/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.94
-35% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +40%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
247 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
19.2 Crosses 15.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Mushuc Runa vs Uni. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.20 xG 1.83
44% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
223 Passes 318
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-2 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
10.06.2023 Uni. Catolica 3-2 HT 3-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
19.02.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-2 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
23.10.2021 Uni. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
09.05.2021 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-6 HT 0-4 Uni. Catolica EKV1
23.11.2020 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1

Mushuc Runa 2-1 Uni. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
2-1
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.56 xG 0.87
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
132 Passes 360
62% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mushuc Runa vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mushuc Runa nicked a narrow win over Uni. Catolica 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Mushuc Runa made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mushuc Runa had 32% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 68%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.56 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mushuc Runa and 2.33 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Uni. Catolica?

Mushuc Runa 2-1 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 31%, draw 29%, Uni. Catolica 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5
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