JaPS 2-1 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
50%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.65
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+5.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-3.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JaPS EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 58%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.07/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.04
-7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JaPS
1W-0D-3L
AWAY TPS Turku
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.04.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-1 HT 1-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
18.09.2022 JaPS JaPS 4-3 HT 2-3 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINY
01.07.2022 JaPS JaPS 0-1 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
23.04.2022 TPS Turku TPS Turku 3-0 HT 1-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JaPS
2-1
AWAY TPS Turku
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH JaPS vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JaPS nicked a narrow win over TPS Turku 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was TPS Turku at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, JaPS had 42% of the ball to TPS Turku's 58%, shots finished 7-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, TPS Turku led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for JaPS and 2.25 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of JaPS vs TPS Turku?

JaPS 2-1 TPS Turku in the Finland - Ykkönen on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JaPS vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split JaPS 28%, draw 21%, TPS Turku 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (TPS Turku) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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