2 de Mayo 2-1 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 2 de Mayo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 30%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.51/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.54
+13% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 2 de Mayo
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
03.03.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-2 HT 0-0 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR
25.08.2021 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 1-3 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 2 de Mayo
2-1
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

2 de Mayo edged past Sportivo Ameliano 2-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; 2 de Mayo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, 2 de Mayo had 58% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 42%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for 2 de Mayo and 1.50 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano?

2 de Mayo 2-1 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a 2 de Mayo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split 2 de Mayo 40%, draw 28%, Sportivo Ameliano 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (2 de Mayo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (2 de Mayo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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