22/05/2025
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Kalmar vs Umea FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
75%
16%
Draw
16%
14%
Away Win
8%
44%
Under 2.5
41%
56%
Over 2.5
59%
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
58%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kalmar v Umea FC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kalmar
EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY
Umea FC
EU Bookmakers 11%
+17% /
+17%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-13% /
-15%
1.50/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.45/2.24
-23%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-51%
/
-18%
60%
Ball Possession
40%
20
Total Shots
7
10
Shots on Target
3
8
Corners
2
431 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
237 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Kalmar vs Umea FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kalmar saw off Umea FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kalmar as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.
What was the final score of Kalmar vs Umea FC?
Kalmar 2-0 Umea FC in the Sweden - Superettan on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kalmar vs Umea FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 70%, draw 16%, Umea FC 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalmar), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Kalmar)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İSÇ2
More Sweden - Superettan
22 May 2025