Tigres (K) 2-0 Thorns (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONK, 22 May 2025

📅22/05/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
2.03
Over
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No Pick
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
35%
4-5
24%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.5pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.1pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-13.2pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Thorns (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres (K)
2-0
AWAY Thorns (K)
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tigres (K) vs Thorns (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres (K) beat Thorns (K) 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Thorns (K) at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Tigres (K) had 37% of the ball to Thorns (K)'s 63%, shots finished 8-17.

What was the final score of Tigres (K) vs Thorns (K)?

Tigres (K) 2-0 Thorns (K) in the CONK on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres (K) vs Thorns (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thorns (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tigres (K) 34%, draw 21%, Thorns (K) 46%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Thorns (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thorns (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CONK More CONK
22 May 2025
02:30 America (K) vs Gotham FC (K) Analysis →