Van Spor FK 4-1 Elazığspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Playoff, 22 May 2025

📅22/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No
63%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Elazığspor EU Bookmakers 27%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
403 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Van Spor FK
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Elazığspor
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
08.02.2025 Elazığspor Elazığspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK T2L-K
22.09.2024 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK 0-2 HT 0-1 Elazığspor Elazığspor T2L-K
24.03.2021 Elazığspor Elazığspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK T2L-K
18.11.2020 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK 2-1 HT 1-0 Elazığspor Elazığspor T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Van Spor FK
4-1
AWAY Elazığspor
9 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Van Spor FK vs Elazığspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Van Spor FK cruised past Elazığspor 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Van Spor FK as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 9-3.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Van Spor FK and 1.25 for Elazığspor.

What was the final score of Van Spor FK vs Elazığspor?

Van Spor FK 4-1 Elazığspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Playoff on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Van Spor FK vs Elazığspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Van Spor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Van Spor FK 45%, draw 29%, Elazığspor 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Van Spor FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Van Spor FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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