Arema Malang 3-1 PSIM Yogyakarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 22 May 2026

📅22/05/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-4.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arema Malang EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY PSIM Yogyakarta EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.89/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.99
+33% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arema Malang
0W-1D-0L
AWAY PSIM Yogyakarta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
16.08.2025 PSIM Yogyakarta PSIM Yogyakarta 1-1 HT 0-1 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arema Malang
3-1
AWAY PSIM Yogyakarta
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arema Malang vs PSIM Yogyakarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arema Malang saw off PSIM Yogyakarta 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arema Malang as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arema Malang had 39% of the ball to PSIM Yogyakarta's 61%, shots finished 16-20.

What was the final score of Arema Malang vs PSIM Yogyakarta?

Arema Malang 3-1 PSIM Yogyakarta in the Indonesia League 1 on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arema Malang vs PSIM Yogyakarta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arema Malang win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arema Malang 51%, draw 25%, PSIM Yogyakarta 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arema Malang), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arema Malang) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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