Thor Akureyri 1-2 Leiknir Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 22 Jun 2024

Thor Akureyri
1-2 HT 0-0
Leiknir Reykjavik
📅22/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - 1st Division – 2024

Thor Akureyri vs Leiknir Reykjavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.63
Over 2.5
67%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.46
No
34%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.3pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.5pp
33%
Under 2.5
34%
-0.8pp
67%
Over 2.5
66%
+0.8pp
66%
BTTS Yes
64%
+2.0pp
34%
BTTS No
36%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thor Akureyri v Leiknir Reykjavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 25%
+20% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.73/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.13
+15% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
436 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Thor Akureyri vs Leiknir Reykjavik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thor Akureyri
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
The Meetings
29.07.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
20.05.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-0 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
16.05.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 3-1 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZK
15.08.2020 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 3-3 HT 3-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
24.08.2019 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-1 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
15.02.2014 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 0-5 HT 0-2 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZLK
POST-MATCH Thor Akureyri vs Leiknir Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiknir Reykjavik nicked a narrow win over Thor Akureyri 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Thor Akureyri at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thor Akureyri had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Thor Akureyri and 1.00 for Leiknir Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Thor Akureyri 1-2 Leiknir Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 51%, draw 22%, Leiknir Reykjavik 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thor Akureyri) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thor Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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