Energetik-BGU Minsk 2-5 Dnepr Rogachev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
57%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+10.6pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.1pp
57%
Away Win
66%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Energetik-BGU Minsk EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Rogachev EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -49%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Energetik-BGU Minsk
2-5
AWAY Dnepr Rogachev
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Energetik-BGU Minsk vs Dnepr Rogachev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Rogachev swept aside Energetik-BGU Minsk 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dnepr Rogachev as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Energetik-BGU Minsk had 40% of the ball to Dnepr Rogachev's 60%, shots finished 6-14.

What was the final score of Energetik-BGU Minsk vs Dnepr Rogachev?

Energetik-BGU Minsk 2-5 Dnepr Rogachev in the Belarus - 1st Division on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Energetik-BGU Minsk vs Dnepr Rogachev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dnepr Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Energetik-BGU Minsk 24%, draw 19%, Dnepr Rogachev 57%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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