Ethiopian Insurance 1-2 Ethiopia Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+78% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
262 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
02.02.2024 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 3-0 HT 1-0 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
1-2
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna nicked a narrow win over Ethiopian Insurance 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Ethiopia Bunna made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ethiopian Insurance had 48% of the ball to Ethiopia Bunna's 52%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Ethiopian Insurance 1-2 Ethiopia Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ethiopian Insurance 37%, draw 27%, Ethiopia Bunna 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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