Gyeongju HNP 1-0 Daejeon Korail — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
47%
-11.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+11.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
1.35/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.37
+8% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongju HNP
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Daejeon Korail
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
18.08.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
22.04.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-2 HT 0-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
15.07.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-2 HT 0-2 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
02.04.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 3-1 HT 1-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
20.08.2021 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-3 HT 1-2 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
17.04.2021 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
POST-MATCH Gyeongju HNP vs Daejeon Korail
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP nicked a narrow win over Daejeon Korail 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Gyeongju HNP found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gyeongju HNP and 0.83 for Daejeon Korail.

What was the final score of Gyeongju HNP vs Daejeon Korail?

Gyeongju HNP 1-0 Daejeon Korail in the South Kore - K3 League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongju HNP vs Daejeon Korail?

Before kick-off our model rated an Daejeon Korail win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gyeongju HNP 35%, draw 27%, Daejeon Korail 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Daejeon Korail) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daejeon Korail) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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