22/06/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
3-1
Forde vs Ardal Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
74%
17%
Draw
16%
16%
Away Win
10%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Forde v Ardal — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Forde
EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ardal
EU Bookmakers 12%
+1% /
+1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-10% /
-10%
3.32/0.54
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.45/4.11
+6%
/
+102%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-57%
/
-24%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
17
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
398 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
256 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Forde vs Ardal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Forde edged past Ardal 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Forde as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Forde vs Ardal?
Forde 2-1 Ardal in the Norway - 3rd Division on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Forde vs Ardal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Forde win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Forde 67%, draw 17%, Ardal 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forde), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Forde)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
22 Jun 2024