Henan Jianye 3-2 Zhejiang G. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
45%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
7%
7.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
19%
7.13
1/2
8%
20.7
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
4%
9.9
X/2
4%
4.57
X/X
9%
5.96
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
33%
2.16
2/X
9%
13.4
Value flag · 1/1 at 7.13 — our 19% vs market 10.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
45%
Away Win
54%
-9.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhejiang G. EU Bookmakers 58%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+96% / -74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Zhejiang G.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye nicked a narrow win over Zhejiang G. 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Zhejiang G. at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Zhejiang G.?

Henan Jianye 3-2 Zhejiang G. in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Zhejiang G.?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zhejiang G. win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 30%, draw 25%, Zhejiang G. 45%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zhejiang G.) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zhejiang G.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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