La Serena 1-1 Deportes Limache — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.8pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Serena EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Limache EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-11% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.2 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Serena
1-1
AWAY Deportes Limache
1.27 xG 1.88
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
381 Passes 150
85% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH La Serena vs Deportes Limache
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Serena and Deportes Limache shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, La Serena had 66% of the ball to Deportes Limache's 34%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 1.27 to 1.88.

What was the final score of La Serena vs Deportes Limache?

La Serena 1-1 Deportes Limache in the Chile - Premier League on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Serena vs Deportes Limache?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Serena win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split La Serena 36%, draw 30%, Deportes Limache 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (La Serena), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Serena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİL More Chile - Premier League
22 Jun 2025
00:30 Huachipato vs Palestino Analysis →
22:00 Audax Italiano vs Colo Colo Analysis →