Atletico Atlanta 0-2 Alvarado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.75
No
59%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
62%
-6.0pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.6pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
32%
+8.9pp
59%
BTTS No
68%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvarado EU Bookmakers 16%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -17%
0.54/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.59
-62% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Atlanta
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Alvarado
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
16.02.2025 Alvarado Alvarado 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
01.05.2022 Alvarado Alvarado 3-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
24.10.2021 Alvarado Alvarado 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
29.06.2021 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Atletico Atlanta vs Alvarado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvarado beat Atletico Atlanta 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Atletico Atlanta carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Alvarado led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Atletico Atlanta and 1.00 for Alvarado.

What was the final score of Atletico Atlanta vs Alvarado?

Atletico Atlanta 0-2 Alvarado in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Atlanta vs Alvarado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Atlanta win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Atletico Atlanta 56%, draw 30%, Alvarado 14%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Atlanta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Atlanta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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