Notodden 0-4 Sandnes Ulf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.23
Over 2.5
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.35
2-3 Goals
34%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
35%
2.79
6+ Goals
13%
7.82
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.79 — our 35% vs market 29.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+7.8pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.5pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-5.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.4pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notodden EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandnes Ulf EU Bookmakers 57%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
1.20/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.00
-6% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -48%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
202 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notodden
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Sandnes Ulf
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
15.09.2019 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 1-0 HT 0-0 Notodden Notodden NOR1
28.07.2019 Notodden Notodden 0-4 HT 0-1 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
23.09.2018 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 1-1 HT 1-0 Notodden Notodden NOR1
10.06.2018 Notodden Notodden 1-0 HT 0-0 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
17.08.2008 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 0-2 HT 0-1 Notodden Notodden NOR1
POST-MATCH Notodden vs Sandnes Ulf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandnes Ulf ran out comfortable winners over Notodden 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sandnes Ulf as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Notodden and 1.20 for Sandnes Ulf.

What was the final score of Notodden vs Sandnes Ulf?

Notodden 0-4 Sandnes Ulf in the Norway - 2nd Division on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notodden vs Sandnes Ulf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sandnes Ulf win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Notodden 32%, draw 20%, Sandnes Ulf 48%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandnes Ulf), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sandnes Ulf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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