SF Grei 2-1 Stabaek II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.32
No
38%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
26%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.6pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.8pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.9pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SF Grei EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek II EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
3.67/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.41
+48% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +69%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SF Grei
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Stabaek II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2022 Stabaek II Stabaek II 4-0 HT 1-0 SF Grei SF Grei NOR4
20.06.2022 SF Grei SF Grei 2-1 HT 1-1 Stabaek II Stabaek II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SF Grei
2-1
AWAY Stabaek II
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SF Grei vs Stabaek II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SF Grei squeezed past Stabaek II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had SF Grei as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, SF Grei had 48% of the ball to Stabaek II's 52%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SF Grei and 2.50 for Stabaek II.

What was the final score of SF Grei vs Stabaek II?

SF Grei 2-1 Stabaek II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SF Grei vs Stabaek II?

Before kick-off our model rated a SF Grei win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split SF Grei 47%, draw 29%, Stabaek II 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SF Grei), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SF Grei) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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