Deportivo Garcilaso 2-1 Ayacucho FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.0pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayacucho FC EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +2%
1.54/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.47
+2% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
22.5 Crosses 15.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
2-1
AWAY Ayacucho FC
1.71 xG 1.30
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
126 Passes 248
63% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Garcilaso vs Ayacucho FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Garcilaso edged past Ayacucho FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Garcilaso as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 39% of the ball to Ayacucho FC's 61%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.71 to 1.30.

What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Ayacucho FC?

Deportivo Garcilaso 2-1 Ayacucho FC in the Peru - Premier League on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Ayacucho FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Garcilaso win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 57%, draw 27%, Ayacucho FC 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
22 Jun 2025
21:00 Sport Boys vs Binacional Analysis →
23:15 Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College Analysis →