Varbergs 1-1 Landskrona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 22 Jul 2024

Varbergs
1-1 HT 0-0
Landskrona
📅22/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Varbergs vs Landskrona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.72
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.4
1/2
5%
25.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
11%
6.49
X/2
14%
5.05
X/X
8%
4.82
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
16%
3.08
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
12.6
Value flag · 2/X at 12.6 — our 10% vs market 5.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.3pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Varbergs v Landskrona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Landskrona EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.51/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.63
+8% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
POST-MATCH Varbergs vs Landskrona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs and Landskrona shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Varbergs vs Landskrona?

Varbergs 1-1 Landskrona in the Sweden - Superettan on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs vs Landskrona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Varbergs 39%, draw 26%, Landskrona 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Varbergs) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varbergs) ✓ BTTS Yes
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