GAIS 2-0 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 22 Jul 2024

GAIS
2-0 HT 1-0
AIK
📅22/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

GAIS vs AIK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 28% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.83
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
17%
5.86
X/2
11%
5.45
X/X
14%
4.84
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
16%
3.46
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

GAIS v AIK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 42%
+16% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.97/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.33
+43% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
20.4 Crosses 20.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

GAIS vs AIK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
1W-0D-5L
AWAY AIK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 13
The Meetings
19.02.2017 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
26.08.2012 GAIS GAIS 0-1 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
24.05.2012 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
01.10.2011 AIK AIK 2-1 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
19.06.2011 GAIS GAIS 2-0 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
14.08.2010 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ

GAIS 2-0 AIK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
2-0
AWAY AIK
0.67 xG 0.86
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
266 Passes 432
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH GAIS vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS got the better of AIK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had GAIS as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, GAIS had 39% of the ball to AIK's 61%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.67 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for GAIS and 1.00 for AIK.

What was the final score of GAIS vs AIK?

GAIS 2-0 AIK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split GAIS 41%, draw 26%, AIK 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GAIS) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (GAIS)
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