Botafogo SP 2-2 Brusque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 22 Jul 2024

Botafogo SP
2-2 HT 1-0
Brusque
📅22/07/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Botafogo SP vs Brusque Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.44
Over 2.5
33%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.4pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
66%
+1.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
34%
-1.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.8pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Botafogo SP v Brusque — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Brusque EU Bookmakers 28%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.07/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.48
-39% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
22.7 Crosses 16.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Botafogo SP 2-2 Brusque — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo SP
2-2
AWAY Brusque
0.96 xG 1.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
289 Passes 286
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Botafogo SP vs Brusque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo SP and Brusque couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Botafogo SP at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botafogo SP had 50% of the ball to Brusque's 50%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.96 to 1.39.

What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Brusque?

Botafogo SP 2-2 Brusque in the Brazil - Serie B on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Brusque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo SP win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 41%, draw 30%, Brusque 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Botafogo SP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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