Leones del Norte 0-0 Mushuc Runa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Cup, 22 Jul 2024

📅22/07/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.54
Over 2.5
34%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.1pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.4pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-3.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.3pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones del Norte EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leones del Norte
0-0
AWAY Mushuc Runa
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leones del Norte vs Mushuc Runa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones del Norte and Mushuc Runa fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Mushuc Runa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Leones del Norte had 43% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 57%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Leones del Norte vs Mushuc Runa?

Leones del Norte 0-0 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Cup on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones del Norte vs Mushuc Runa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Leones del Norte 27%, draw 32%, Mushuc Runa 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mushuc Runa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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