Rotor Volgograd 1-1 Torpedo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 22 Jul 2024

📅22/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.48
Over 2.5
49%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.1pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
64%
-12.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
36%
+12.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotor Volgograd EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.12/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.00
+7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotor Volgograd
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2022 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-0 HT 1-0 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS1
03.10.2021 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 1-1 HT 1-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
31.08.2019 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 0-2 HT 0-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
20.04.2014 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotor Volgograd
1-1
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rotor Volgograd vs Torpedo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rotor Volgograd and Torpedo Moscow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Torpedo Moscow at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Rotor Volgograd had 43% of the ball to Torpedo Moscow's 57%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Torpedo Moscow led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Rotor Volgograd and 1.25 for Torpedo Moscow.

What was the final score of Rotor Volgograd vs Torpedo Moscow?

Rotor Volgograd 1-1 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotor Volgograd vs Torpedo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rotor Volgograd 30%, draw 25%, Torpedo Moscow 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torpedo Moscow), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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