Boston River 1-2 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 22 Jul 2024

📅22/07/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.37/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.24
+15% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Danubio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Boston River Boston River 0-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
24.10.2023 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
02.07.2023 Boston River Boston River 1-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
19.03.2023 Boston River Boston River 3-3 HT 2-1 Danubio Danubio URU
19.09.2022 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
15.04.2022 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
1-2
AWAY Danubio
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Danubio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio squeezed past Boston River 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Danubio made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boston River had 56% of the ball to Danubio's 44%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Boston River and 0.83 for Danubio.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Danubio?

Boston River 1-2 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Boston River 35%, draw 29%, Danubio 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Danubio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Danubio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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