St. Johnstone 3-1 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 22 Jul 2025

St. Johnstone
3-1 HT 1-0
Raith Rovers
📅22/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2025/2026

St. Johnstone vs Raith Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.66
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Johnstone v Raith Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 29%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
0.74/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.00
-53% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

St. Johnstone vs Raith Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Raith Rovers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
The Meetings
08.03.2014 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-3 HT 1-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKK
15.01.2008 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 3-1 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
12.03.2005 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-2 HT 1-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKCL
26.12.2004 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-0 HT 2-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
30.10.2004 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKCL
28.08.2004 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone got the better of Raith Rovers 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Johnstone as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for St. Johnstone and 0.67 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Raith Rovers?

St. Johnstone 3-1 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - League Cup on 22/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 44%, draw 27%, Raith Rovers 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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