San Martin San Juan 3-2 Deportivo Riestra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 22 Jul 2025

San Martin San Juan
3-2 HT 1-1
Deportivo Riestra
📅22/07/2025 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2025

San Martin San Juan vs Deportivo Riestra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
33%
2.66
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.26
Over 2.5
28%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.67
No
65%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.65
2-3 Goals
47%
1.99
4-5 Goals
13%
9.37
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.39
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
16.75
X/1
12%
5.13
X/2 EV+ ✗
22%
5.6
X/X
17%
2.85
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
9%
5.01
2/X
8%
16.95
Value flag · X/2 at 5.6 — our 22% vs market 13.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.6pp
33%
Draw
34%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.7pp
72%
Under 2.5
76%
-3.3pp
28%
Over 2.5
24%
+3.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
33%
+1.9pp
65%
BTTS No
67%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

San Martin San Juan v Deportivo Riestra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.65/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.12
-1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
20.6 Crosses 10.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3

San Martin San Juan vs Deportivo Riestra Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin San Juan
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.76 xG 0.89
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
170 Passes 190
61% Pass Accuracy 61%
18 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.01.2025 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
06.03.2022 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJPBN

San Martin San Juan 3-2 Deportivo Riestra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Martin San Juan
3-2
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
2.15 xG 0.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
138 Passes 130
58% Pass Accuracy 52%
22 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH San Martin San Juan vs Deportivo Riestra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin San Juan edged past Deportivo Riestra 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 36%) promised a tight game; San Martin San Juan found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, San Martin San Juan had 49% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 51%, shots finished 11-3, expected goals 2.15 to 0.19 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold San Martin San Juan's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Riestra led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for San Martin San Juan and 0.50 for Deportivo Riestra.

What was the final score of San Martin San Juan vs Deportivo Riestra?

San Martin San Juan 3-2 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 22/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin San Juan vs Deportivo Riestra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Riestra win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split San Martin San Juan 31%, draw 33%, Deportivo Riestra 36%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Riestra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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