Queen Of The South 1-4 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 22 Jul 2026

Queen Of The South
1-4 HT 1-1
Aberdeen
📅22/07/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2026/2027

Queen Of The South vs Aberdeen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
6.35
Draw
15%
4.81
Away
68%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.64
6+ Goals
8%
6.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
40%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
12%
+3.9pp
15%
Draw
17%
-1.9pp
68%
Away Win
70%
-2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queen Of The South v Aberdeen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 75%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
0.90/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.83/0.18
+26% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
252 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Queen Of The South vs Aberdeen Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queen Of The South
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Aberdeen
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
The Meetings
13.07.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 0-3 HT 0-3 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKLK
10.02.2019 Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-1 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKK
14.02.2012 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-2 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKK
04.02.2012 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-1 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKK
12.04.2008 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 4-3 HT 1-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKK
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen cruised past Queen Of The South 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aberdeen as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Aberdeen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Queen Of The South and 2.60 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs Aberdeen?

Queen Of The South 1-4 Aberdeen in the Scotland - League Cup on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 16%, draw 15%, Aberdeen 68%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberdeen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →