Sydney United 1-1 Central Coast Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - FFA Cup, 22 Jul 2026

Sydney United
1-1 HT 0-0
Central Coast Mariners
📅22/07/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - FFA Cup – 2026

Sydney United vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.3pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.0pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.4pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sydney United v Central Coast Mariners — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
– Crosses 12.1
– Yellow Cards 2.9

Sydney United 1-1 Central Coast Mariners — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney United
1-1
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
2.37 xG 1.00
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
314 Passes 503
28 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sydney United vs Central Coast Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney United and Central Coast Mariners couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (42% / 20% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.37 to 1.00.

What was the final score of Sydney United vs Central Coast Mariners?

Sydney United 1-1 Central Coast Mariners in the Australia - FFA Cup on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney United vs Central Coast Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sydney United 42%, draw 20%, Central Coast Mariners 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sydney United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sydney United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUK More Australia - FFA Cup
22 Jul 2026
12:30 Cooma Tigers vs Western Sydney Wanderers Analysis →
12:30 Maitland vs Fremantle City Analysis →
13:00 NAU Rangers vs Macarthur Analysis →