22/08/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
4-0
2nd Score
3-0
MC Alger vs Watanga Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
80%
19%
Draw
14%
15%
Away Win
6%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MC Alger v Watanga — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
MC Alger
EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY
Watanga
EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
61%
Ball Possession
39%
15
Total Shots
5
7
Shots on Target
2
8
Corners
3
448 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
260 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
MC Alger vs Watanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
MC Alger saw off Watanga 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had MC Alger as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of MC Alger vs Watanga?
MC Alger 2-0 Watanga in the CAF Champions League on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MC Alger vs Watanga?
Before kick-off our model rated a MC Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split MC Alger 66%, draw 19%, Watanga 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MC Alger), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (MC Alger)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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