Columbus Crew 3-1 Philadelphia Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.96
2-3 Goals
39%
2.07
4-5 Goals
25%
2.58
6+ Goals
12%
5.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.78
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.55
X/1
17%
3.94
X/2
8%
12.5
X/X
12%
7.39
2/1
7%
19.1
2/2
10%
8.38
2/X
6%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.2pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.3pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 21%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +67% / +67%
1.90/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.11
+20% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
429 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
16.0 Crosses 9.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Philadelphia Union
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.36 xG 1.42
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
457 Passes 210
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-1 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
26.02.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-1 HT 1-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
04.07.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-0 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
10.04.2022 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-0 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
03.10.2021 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 3-0 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
24.06.2021 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-0 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
3-1
AWAY Philadelphia Union
2.78 xG 0.93
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
435 Passes 323
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew got the better of Philadelphia Union 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 56% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 44%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.78 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.67 for Philadelphia Union.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?

Columbus Crew 3-1 Philadelphia Union in the Concacaf League Cup on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 53%, draw 23%, Philadelphia Union 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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