Marathon 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
53%
-12.7pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.7pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marathon
1-0
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
60% Ball Possession 40%
28 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Marathon vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon nicked a narrow win over Luis Angel Firpo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Marathon made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Marathon had 60% of the ball to Luis Angel Firpo's 40%, shots finished 28-10.

What was the final score of Marathon vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Marathon 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo in the CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Marathon 40%, draw 32%, Luis Angel Firpo 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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