22/08/2024
·
05:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Puntarenas FC vs Quepos Cambute Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
17%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
19%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
57%
29%
Draw
24%
29%
Away Win
18%
60%
Under 2.5
50%
40%
Over 2.5
50%
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
57%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Puntarenas FC v Quepos Cambute — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Puntarenas FC
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Quepos Cambute
EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% /
-13%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+70% /
+70%
0.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/0.00
-100%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-4%
/
–
56%
Ball Possession
44%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
5
338 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
234 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Puntarenas FC vs Quepos Cambute
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Puntarenas FC swept aside Quepos Cambute 3-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Puntarenas FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.
What was the final score of Puntarenas FC vs Quepos Cambute?
Puntarenas FC 3-0 Quepos Cambute in the Costa Rica - Cup on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Puntarenas FC vs Quepos Cambute?
Before kick-off our model rated a Puntarenas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Puntarenas FC 42%, draw 29%, Quepos Cambute 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puntarenas FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Puntarenas FC)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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KOSTK
More Costa Rica - Cup
22 Aug 2024