Kazma 0-1 Al Nasar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒21:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
21%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.98
4-5 Goals
24%
2.7
6+ Goals
17%
6.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
21%
Away Win
25%
-4.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.3pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kazma EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
2.23/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/2.37
+22% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -40%
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
386 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kazma
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Nasar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
6 Corners 4
15.12.2023 Kazma Kazma 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
24.08.2023 Al Nasar Al Nasar 3-3 HT 2-1 Kazma Kazma KUV
09.02.2023 Al Nasar Al Nasar 4-1 HT 2-0 Kazma Kazma KUV
15.09.2022 Kazma Kazma 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
05.03.2022 Kazma Kazma 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
02.12.2021 Al Nasar Al Nasar 1-1 HT 0-0 Kazma Kazma KUV
POST-MATCH Kazma vs Al Nasar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasar squeezed past Kazma 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kazma at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kazma and 1.83 for Al Nasar.

What was the final score of Kazma vs Al Nasar?

Kazma 0-1 Al Nasar in the Kuwait - Premier League on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kazma vs Al Nasar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kazma win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kazma 53%, draw 26%, Al Nasar 21%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kazma) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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