Buchbach 1-0 Schwaben Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
17%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
58%
+3.7pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.7pp
17%
Away Win
20%
-3.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buchbach EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Schwaben Augsburg EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.51/0.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.85
-29% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +119%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
419 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buchbach
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Schwaben Augsburg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2025 Buchbach Buchbach 1-1 HT 1-1 Schwaben Augsburg ALMBÖL
31.08.2024 Schwaben Augsburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Buchbach vs Schwaben Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buchbach squeezed past Schwaben Augsburg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Buchbach as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Buchbach had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Buchbach and 0.50 for Schwaben Augsburg.

What was the final score of Buchbach vs Schwaben Augsburg?

Buchbach 1-0 Schwaben Augsburg in the Germany - Regional League on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buchbach vs Schwaben Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buchbach win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Buchbach 62%, draw 21%, Schwaben Augsburg 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buchbach), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buchbach) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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