Lanus 1-0 Central Cordoba Santiago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.41
Over 2.5
40%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.51
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
67%
-7.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
33%
+7.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.6pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lanus EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago EU Bookmakers 23%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+29% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.6 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lanus
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 0.71
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
266 Passes 274
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.08.2025 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 1-0 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus CSA
17.08.2024 Lanus Lanus 1-1 HT 1-0 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
08.03.2024 Lanus Lanus 0-1 HT 0-0 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
17.10.2023 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 0-0 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
12.04.2023 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 1-1 HT 1-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
27.08.2022 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 2-2 HT 1-2 Lanus Lanus ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lanus
1-0
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago
1.68 xG 0.44
60% Ball Possession 40%
25 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
350 Passes 202
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
41 Box Touches 21
39 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lanus vs Central Cordoba Santiago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lanus nicked a narrow win over Central Cordoba Santiago 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lanus as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Lanus had 60% of the ball to Central Cordoba Santiago's 40%, shots finished 25-11, expected goals 1.68 to 0.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lanus's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Cordoba Santiago led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lanus and 1.00 for Central Cordoba Santiago.

What was the final score of Lanus vs Central Cordoba Santiago?

Lanus 1-0 Central Cordoba Santiago in the Copa Sudamericana on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lanus vs Central Cordoba Santiago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lanus 45%, draw 31%, Central Cordoba Santiago 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lanus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lanus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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