Le Mans FC 1-0 Bastia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 22 Aug 2025

Le Mans FC
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Bastia
📅22/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Le Mans FC vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.56
Over
39%
2.2
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.0
No
52%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.31
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
16%
4.76
6+
2%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.05
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1
14%
5.38
X/2
14%
5.31
X/X
21%
3.8
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.97
2/X
5%
14.0
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Le Mans FC v Bastia — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Le Mans FC The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bastia The Market 38%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.13 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
1.20 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.19
Weak Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
16 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Le Mans FC vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Mans FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bastia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
The Meetings
08.02.2021 Bastia Bastia 1-0 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
07.09.2020 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-3 HT 0-2 Bastia Bastia FR3
17.11.2018 Bastia Bastia 2-1 HT 1-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FRK
04.05.2012 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
12.08.2011 Bastia Bastia 1-0 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
20.03.2004 Bastia Bastia 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR1

Le Mans FC 1-0 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Mans FC
1 - 0
AWAY Bastia
1.42 xG 0.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
251 Passes 237
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Le Mans FC vs Bastia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Le Mans FC nicked a narrow win over Bastia 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Le Mans FC made the difference. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (61%) landed.

On the day, possession split 52% to 48% in Le Mans FC's favour, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.42 to 0.78.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Le Mans FC against 1.17 for Bastia.

Le Mans FC vs Bastia Result & Final Score

Le Mans FC 1 - 0 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Le Mans FC vs Bastia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Le Mans FC 34%, draw 31%, Bastia 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bastia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bastia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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