Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Austria - Bundesliga, 22 Aug 2026

📅22/08/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
69%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
12%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Austria Lustenau
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.49 xG 0.37
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
296 Passes 290
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
34 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 2-0 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
19.08.2023 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-1 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
04.03.2023 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-2 HT 0-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
18.09.2022 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 2-0 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
30.10.2013 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-4 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVK
PREVIEW Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

On our read, Sturm Graz at home is the clear lean — the question is whether the price already knows it.

Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 0 of Sturm Graz's last 5 home league games, and both teams have scored in 4 of Austria Lustenau's last 5 away league games.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz have the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Sturm Graz and 0.00 for Austria Lustenau.

Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau Kick-off Time

Sturm Graz play Austria Lustenau in the Austria - Bundesliga on 22/08/2026, kick-off 20:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau is a Sturm Graz win at about 68% probability, priced 1.37 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Sturm Graz 68%, draw 19%, Austria Lustenau 12%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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