Varnsdorf 2-3 Sigma Olomouc II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+5.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.4pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sigma Olomouc II EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.81/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.71
+19% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varnsdorf
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Sigma Olomouc II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.07.2023 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 1-1 HT 1-1 Sigma Olomouc II Sigma Olomouc II ÇEK2
16.04.2023 Sigma Olomouc II Sigma Olomouc II 1-1 HT 1-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
11.09.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 1-0 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc II Sigma Olomouc II ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varnsdorf
2-3
AWAY Sigma Olomouc II
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Varnsdorf vs Sigma Olomouc II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sigma Olomouc II edged past Varnsdorf 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sigma Olomouc II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Varnsdorf had 51% of the ball to Sigma Olomouc II's 49%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Varnsdorf had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Varnsdorf and 0.67 for Sigma Olomouc II.

What was the final score of Varnsdorf vs Sigma Olomouc II?

Varnsdorf 2-3 Sigma Olomouc II in the Czech Republic - FNL on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varnsdorf vs Sigma Olomouc II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varnsdorf win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Varnsdorf 39%, draw 24%, Sigma Olomouc II 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Varnsdorf), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varnsdorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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