Celtic 5-2 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 22 Sep 2024

Celtic
5-2 HT 1-2
Falkirk
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2025/2026

Celtic vs Falkirk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.11
Draw
21%
8.11
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.46
Over 2.5
62%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.33
No
50%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
8.83
2-3 Goals
36%
2.4
4-5 Goals
31%
2.36
6+ Goals
13%
3.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.12
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
34.5
X/1
18%
3.59
X/2
6%
34.5
X/X
8%
16.95
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
7%
34.5
2/X
6%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
85%
-23.6pp
20%
Draw
9%
+11.3pp
18%
Away Win
6%
+12.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
25%
+12.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
75%
-12.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
39%
+11.3pp
50%
BTTS No
61%
-11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Celtic v Falkirk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.47/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.90
-15% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
541 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 70%
45.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
29.6 Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards –

Celtic vs Falkirk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Falkirk
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
80% Ball Possession 20%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
655 Passes 99
90% Pass Accuracy 53%
73 Box Touches 0
31 Crosses 2
The Meetings
03.04.2021 Celtic Celtic 3-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKK
29.01.2012 Falkirk Falkirk 1-3 HT 1-1 Celtic Celtic İKLK
07.03.2010 Falkirk Falkirk 0-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
16.01.2010 Celtic Celtic 1-1 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKP
08.11.2009 Falkirk Falkirk 3-3 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
23.09.2009 Falkirk Falkirk 0-4 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKLK

Celtic 5-2 Falkirk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic
5-2
AWAY Falkirk
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
10 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Celtic vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic swept aside Falkirk 5-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Celtic had 55% of the ball to Falkirk's 45%, shots finished 16-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Celtic and 0.83 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Celtic vs Falkirk?

Celtic 5-2 Falkirk in the Scotland - League Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Celtic 61%, draw 20%, Falkirk 18%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5
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