Assyriska 1-2 Friska Viljor FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
70%
-6.4pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.2pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Assyriska EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Friska Viljor FC EU Bookmakers 16%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.69
-17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Assyriska
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Friska Viljor FC
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2024 Friska Viljor FC Friska Viljor FC 2-3 HT 1-1 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
23.10.2022 Assyriska Assyriska 3-1 HT 3-0 Friska Viljor FC Friska Viljor FC İSÇ4
21.08.2004 Friska Viljor FC Friska Viljor FC 1-4 HT 0-1 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Assyriska
1-2
AWAY Friska Viljor FC
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Assyriska vs Friska Viljor FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Friska Viljor FC squeezed past Assyriska 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Assyriska at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Assyriska had 58% of the ball to Friska Viljor FC's 42%, shots finished 20-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Assyriska had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Assyriska and 1.33 for Friska Viljor FC.

What was the final score of Assyriska vs Friska Viljor FC?

Assyriska 1-2 Friska Viljor FC in the Sweden - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Assyriska vs Friska Viljor FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Assyriska win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Assyriska 63%, draw 22%, Friska Viljor FC 15%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Assyriska), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Assyriska) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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