Como (K) 1-3 Roma (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
7.95
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
68%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.89
Over 2.5
53%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
47%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
9%
+4.4pp
18%
Draw
12%
+5.8pp
68%
Away Win
78%
-10.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
31%
+16.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
69%
-16.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.5pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.94/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.21
-47% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -27%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
238 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 82%
10.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.7
7.5 Crosses 16.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como (K)
1-3
AWAY Roma (K)
1.96 xG 1.52
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 14
262 Passes 272
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 35
26 Crosses 22
POST-MATCH Como (K) vs Roma (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) beat Como (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Como (K) had 51% of the ball to Roma (K)'s 49%, shots finished 19-19, expected goals 1.96 to 1.52 — the balance of chances actually favoured Como (K).

What was the final score of Como (K) vs Roma (K)?

Como (K) 1-3 Roma (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como (K) vs Roma (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Como (K) 14%, draw 18%, Roma (K) 68%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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