Valencia (K) 0-4 Atletico Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
7.18
Draw
33%
4.49
Away
33%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
12%
+21.6pp
33%
Draw
20%
+13.5pp
33%
Away Win
68%
-35.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 72%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.74/2.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.84
+35% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
12.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
9.4 Crosses 22.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.79 xG 2.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 10
273 Passes 307
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2024 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Valencia (K) Valencia (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
07.01.2024 Valencia (K) Valencia (K) 1-6 HT 1-4 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia (K)
0-4
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
0.46 xG 1.73
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
241 Passes 522
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
6 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Valencia (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) cruised past Valencia (K) 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Atletico Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Valencia (K) had 34% of the ball to Atletico Madrid (K)'s 66%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.46 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Valencia (K) and 3.50 for Atletico Madrid (K).

What was the final score of Valencia (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Valencia (K) 0-4 Atletico Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Valencia (K) 33%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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