Vorskla Poltava (K) 0-1 Celtic (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
48%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.91
Over
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
35%
4-5
21%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vorskla Poltava (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic (K) EU Bookmakers 59%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+126% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +45%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vorskla Poltava (K)
0-1
AWAY Celtic (K)
0 Total Shots 1
0 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vorskla Poltava (K) vs Celtic (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic (K) nicked a narrow win over Vorskla Poltava (K) 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celtic (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 0-1.

What was the final score of Vorskla Poltava (K) vs Celtic (K)?

Vorskla Poltava (K) 0-1 Celtic (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vorskla Poltava (K) vs Celtic (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vorskla Poltava (K) 26%, draw 26%, Celtic (K) 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celtic (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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