Wolfsburg (K) 5-1 Köln (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 22 Sep 2024

Wolfsburg (K)
5-1 HT 2-1
Köln (K)
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Wolfsburg (K) vs Köln (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.78
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.0
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
1.88
No
66%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-16.2pp
20%
Draw
10%
+9.1pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.2pp
34%
BTTS Yes
49%
-15.6pp
66%
BTTS No
51%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolfsburg (K) v Köln (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
3.02/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.31
+30% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +113%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
509 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 78%
40.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
23.4 Crosses 14.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Wolfsburg (K) 5-1 Köln (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
5-1
AWAY Köln (K)
3.11 xG 1.02
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
407 Passes 184
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg (K) vs Köln (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg (K) cruised past Köln (K) 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wolfsburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wolfsburg (K) had 63% of the ball to Köln (K)'s 37%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 3.11 to 1.02.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg (K) vs Köln (K)?

Wolfsburg (K) 5-1 Köln (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg (K) vs Köln (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg (K) 66%, draw 20%, Köln (K) 14%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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